• J.A. Cavalier

Clippers vs Mavericks Free Pick

Clippers @ Mavericks (LAC -2.5, 226.5)

NBA Odds, NBA Predictions, NBA Free Picks


The Clippers and Mavericks will meet for the third time this season tonight after having just played on Monday. The Clippers used a revamped lineup to hold Dallas star Luka Doncic in check and grab a 109-99 win.


Notice that L.A. held Dallas to just 99 points on Monday night. Paul George drew the task of slowing down Doncic, which he did somewhat. Doncic scored 25 points, but he shot just 9-of-23 from the floor and 4-of-11 from behind the arc. George and the Clippers defense held Dallas scoreless for the final 3:15 of the game.


The Clippers defense and the pace at which both of these teams play will lead us to tonight’s total pick. L.A. is sixth in the league in scoring defense allowing 109.7 points per game. They are also ninth in opponent three-point field goal percentage holding teams to 36.2 percent shooting from beyond the arc.


When you couple that defense with the fact that both the Clippers and Mavs play at an extremely slow pace, you have the makings of another Under. The Under hit in each of the first two L.A.-Dallas matchups.


Dallas is 26th in possessions per game and the Clippers are 29th. Only the Knicks play at a slower pace than Los Angeles. The slow pace was evident in both Clippers-Mavs games this season. Back in December, Dallas beat the Clips 124-73 in the worst defeat in L.A. franchise history. The total in that game was, ironically, 226.5. Monday’s total was 229.


Tonight’s total is once again 226.5 and the combination of defense and slow pace will lead to yet another Under. Don’t forget, the Under has hit in eight of the Mavs last 10 games and all five of their last five home games.

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