Dolphins vs Bills

Dolphins at Bills (BUF -3.5, 47.5)

NFL Odds, NFL Predictions, NFL Picks

The Bills have become one of the most dominant teams over the last five weeks and the Dolphins are in desperate need of a win. There are a few scenarios for the Dolphins to get in but just winning would be the easiest route. They could get a break if the Bills decide to bench key players like Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs, but if not, the Fins are facing a team riding a 5-game winning streak. The Bills are 7-3 straight up in their last 10 against Miami and 6-1 at home this season.

If the Bills are starting Allen and Diggs and their key defensive guys, the Dolphins have a real shot at missing the playoffs. But I think Sean McDermott is focused on the playoffs here since Buffalo isn’t playing for anything else. Miami is an impressive 11-4 ATS this year and they have the top total scoring defense in the league. If the Bills sideline their top guys, I’m not playing this 3.5 number, I will be taking Miami on the moneyline at +160. This is a must win game for the Fins and the Bills won’t have a ton of motivation, if Miami can get the ground game going which produced another 100 plus yard day last week, I like the Fins.

Miami 26 Buffalo 20