• J.A. Cavalier

Timberwolves vs Pelicans Free Pick

Timberwolves @ Pelicans (NO -8, 238.5)

NBA Odds, NBA Predictions, NBA Free Picks


New Orleans welcomes Minnesota to start a three-game home stand that the Pelicans hope will catapult them into playoff position. The Pels are currently 15-21 and 11th in the Western Conference standings. Nothing can build confidence like what should be a sure win.


The T-Wolves have the worst record in the NBA at 7-29 and are currently riding a nine-game losing streak. And, they have been beaten badly. Minnesota has not covered a spread in those nine games either.


The Timberwolves will be without DeAngelo Russell who is still nursing a leg injury, but they will have leading scorer and rebounder Karl-Anthony Towns. When Minnesota and New Orleans played earlier this season, Russell, Towns, and Juancho Hernangomez did not play. The shocking thing is the T-Wolves won.


While that may not happen tonight, what will happen is what Minnesota is capable of – scoring. The T-Wolves have done a decent job of putting up points. They scored 128 against Indiana, 126 against Chicago, and 112 on both Washington and Milwaukee. Don’t forget, Minnesota scored 120 in their 120-110 win over the Pelicans earlier this season.


New Orleans averages 115.5 points per game. They also allow 115.9 points per game, which is one of the big reasons why the Pelicans have the best Over record in the NBA. The Over is 26-10 in Pelicans games this season.


The Over has hit in 12 of the Pelicans last 14 games and in 10 of the last 11 games when New Orleans has faced Minnesota at home.


There is also another factor. Since 2005, when two teams with losing records play in the first two days after the All-Star break, the Over hits 65 percent of the time. The theory is that the long layoff and the losing record leaves defenses not very motivated.


The number – 238.5 – is a big one, but with New Orleans trending and the T-Wolves hitting the Over in four of their last five games; stick with it and play the Over.

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