Liverpool vs Spurs, Premier League, 5/5/2024
Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur - Free Pick
Liverpool -1.5 Spread at +110 20* selection (2 units)
The break in action will be advantageous for Liverpool, who haven't played since last Saturday.
Liverpool boast the best home record in the league, securing 13 wins from 17 at Anfield, with 43 goals scored and just 15 conceded.
In contrast, Spurs have won just two of their last 10 visits to top-six teams, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game during these matches.
Spurs are currently displaying their poorest football of the season, and with a top-four finish now highly unlikely, motivation levels could decline.
Spurs are coming off three consecutive losses, they lost 4-0 to Newcastle, 3-2 to Arsenal, and 2-0 to Chelsea
We saw just how poor Spurs were from defending set-pieces against Arsenal, they now rank dead last in the league for chances allowed from set-pieces. We should note that Liverpool rank 4th best in the league for creating from set-pieces so expect them to have some success of their own here
Looking at Spurs last 4 road games we can see some pretty worrying performances, From the Chelsea, Newcastle, West Ham, and Fulham games we see an average of 2.5 goals against, 2.21 expected goals against, and 14.25 shots against.
Spurs did win the last fixture 2-1 but Liverpool did have two men sent off in that game so don't put much weight into that result
Another advantage for Liverpool is that they are effectively out of the league title race, with most models giving them only a 2.5% chance. This, coupled with a week's rest, should rejuvenate them and allow us to witness Liverpool at their best.
Ultimately, no team in the league can match Liverpool's home dominance; their underlying metrics surpass even the impressive results they've achieved here. Anticipate a resounding victory over a Spurs team that appears eager for the season to conclude.
Pick: Liverpool -1.5 Spread at +110 20* selection (2 units)
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