WASHINGTON @ OREGON STATE (OSU -1.5, 62)
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HUSKIES VS. BEAVERS 11/18/23
In their previous 11 games against the Oregon State Beavers (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS), the Washington Huskies (10-0 SU, 4-5-1 ATS) have gone 10-1 SU. However, in their previous three meetings between these two Pac-12 rivals, the Beavers have prevailed 3-0 ATS. This Saturday night in Oregon, the Huskies will try to maintain their perfect record by defeating the Beavers once more.
After starting the season with a 3-1 ATS record, Washington has only gone 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games. In their previous 17 home games, including their current 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS run, the Beavers are 16-1 SU and ATS. In the previous six meetings between Washington and Oregon State, the UNDER is 5-1.
Most Recent Notes on Bets: Washington
After trailing 28-24 at the half, the Huskies scored 35 points as 9-point home favorites to defeat the Utah Utes. They didn't give up another point in the second half. With 332 passing yards, two passing touchdowns, and one rushing touchdown, Michael Penix Jr. completed 24 of 41 passes. On 23 carries, Dillon Johnson gained 104 rushing yards and a touchdown, leading the way.
With 3,533 passing yards, Penix Jr. leads the country. Through Washington's first 10 games, he has a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 28 to 7. The Huskies are 1-2 ATS on the road during their current six-game winning streak, winning by an average margin of just 7.3 points per game.
Most Recent Notes on Betting: Oregon State
Oregon State, who was 21.5 points ahead at home against Stanford, blew the Cardinals away in the first half, going up 34–10 and never looking back. Damien Martinez gained 146 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns on just 15 rushing attempts, while DJ Uiagalelei finished 12-for-19 with 240 passing yards and two passing touchdowns. This season, Martinez has 1,024 rushing yards, seven rushing touchdowns, and 155 carries.
With the victory and cover, the Beavers increased their record to 13-3 SU and 12-4 ATS over their previous 16 games. Additionally, Oregon State has won its last six games in November, both SU and ATS.
The Secrets To Triumph: Washington
The Huskies have played better away from home this season than they have at home, going 7-0 SU and 4-3 ATS in their last seven road games. Michael Penix Jr. has not suffered from playing on the road; in Washington's four road games in 2023, the offense has averaged 41.5 points per game.
This pattern needs to hold on Saturday. After allowing 34.3 points per game in its previous three games, Washington's road trip against this potent Oregon State offense won't be any easier. The Huskies offense will need to keep up in order to attempt to win another high-scoring contest because the Beavers are expected to generate offensive output.
The Crucible of Success: Oregon State
This season, Oregon State is ranked 14th in terms of scoring with an average of 37.9 points per game and 19th in terms of total offense with an average of 453.3 yards per game. Damien Martinez and the running game, which has 196.9 rushing yards per game and is ranked 20th in the nation, are the focal points of the offense.
This season, Washington's run defense hasn't been especially strong, giving up 140.3 rushing yards per contest. Although a shootout victory over this potent Huskies offense is unlikely, the Beavers may be able to win at home if they can establish their running game early and keep Michael Penix Jr. off the field.
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FREE PICK: UNDER 62
There’s no doubt each of these teams can score. Both average over 35 points per game, but historically, these two teams have played close low-scoring games over the past few years. In the last three meetings, for example, the teams averaged 48 points per game. Five of the last six in the series have gone Under the total. For Oregon State to keep this one close, they’ll need to run the football - they average 188 rushing yards per game which is 30th in the nation. That will keep Washington’s offense off the field and keep this total Under 62.
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