MILWAUKEE @ INDIANA (MIL -2.5, 232.5)
NBA ODDS, NBA PREDICTIONS, NBA PREVIEWS
BUCKS @ PACERS 3/11/25
The Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers are Central Division rivals playing for the third time this season tonight. The Bucks are coming into this game after a 112-100 loss against Cleveland at home, while the Pacers are just fresh off a game last night against the Chicago Bulls before. With the loss last night, the Pacers have now lost three straight. Over time, the Bucks have had the upper hand in the series against the Pacers with a 117-96 record. The Bucks won the first two games this season, the most recent being a 120-112 win on December 31, 2024.
Currently, the Buck's are holding the fourth spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs. With a 36-27 record, they are 17.5 games behind the first-place Cavaliers. The most recent game against Cleveland saw the Bucks lose momentum in the second quarter, which ultimately cost them the game despite their 50-44 advantage on rebounds. Giannis Antetokounmpo was the shining star for the Bucks with 30 points and 9 rebounds.
The Bucks average 114.6 points per game, making them the 12th highest scoring team in the league. The team also ranks 6th in field goal percentage and 8th in three-pointers per game but struggles with free throws, placing them 29th in the league.
Meanwhile, the Pacers come into the game after playing against the Bulls. Indiana currently holds a 35-27 record for the season, placing them third in the Central Division. Their 3-6 record in back-to-back games showcases their struggles when playing without rest. Key players like Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam, T.J. McConnell, and Isaiah Jackson are the core contributors to the Pacers' average 116.6 points per game, which places them ninth in the league. The Pacers, however, need to improve on their rebounding. They are currently in 28th place in the NBA in rebounds per game. The Pacers are No. 3 in the league in assists per game.
Unfortunately for the Pacers, Jackson is out for the season due to a torn Achilles, while Tyrese Haliburton's hip injury and McConnell's ankle trouble could see them sidelined for the game against the Bucks. Despite two losses in a row coming into this game, Milwaukee is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games. The Bucks have won 4 of their last 5 road games and they are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
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COACH RICK FREE PICK:
AARON NESMITH OVER 12.5 PTS+ASTS
Nesmith missed this number last night which was his first miss in five games. He’s gone Over this prop in 8 of his last 10 games. Nesmith’s season averages put him at 11.8 pts+asts, but his recent performances have been much better. Over his last 10 games, Nesmith has averaged 16.9 pts+asts. Milwaukee ranks 20th in defending the small forward position. The Bucks give up 21.4 ppg and 4 apg to the position.