COLLEGE BASKETBALL
WICHITA STATE @ SOUTH FLORIDA (SF -1.5, 146.5)
WICHITA STATE +1.5
Wichita State lost to South Florida by 19 points at home back in early January. The Shockers have only two conference wins, but one of them came in their last game. Wichita State beat Charlotte 66-58 on Tuesday night.
South Florida has the better conference record at 5-5, but they are in a tough spot here. The Bulls just beat Temple on Thursday night but had to go to double overtime to get the win. Now, they're back at home on a Super Bowl Sunday. Perfect letdown spot.
Wichita State has actually beaten South Florida in 8 of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. Don't be surprised if the Shockers pull the outright upset.
SUPER BOWL LIX
PHILADELPHIA vs. KANSAS CITY (KC -1.5, 48.5)
COACH RICK'S SUPER BOWL PICKS
Yesterday, I shared with you all of my Super Bowl picks. I'll repeat those picks with a little less explanation today. You can always go back and check out what I posted yesterday if you're looking for more detail.
2H UNDER 24.5
This isn't a very popular pick, but it's all about coaching for me - Steve Spagnuolo for KC and Vic Fangio for the Eagles.
Both defenses allow a hair over 9 points in the second half, a shade over 5 in the fourth quarter. I realize that both of these offenses could go off at any time, but I also know how these NFL DCs operate. They will work to take away what an offense does best and force the offense to beat it some other way. That usually doesn't work out and the 9 points in the second half is a good indicator. Plus, the 2H Under is 29-11 in Chiefs games over the last two seasons.
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ACH RICK'S OTHER SUPER BOWL
SAQUON BARKLEY ANYTIME TD
JALEN HURTS ANYTIME TD
KAREEM HUNT ANYTIME TD
These guys are all solid bets to reach the end zone on Sunday night. Barkley has the shortest odds followed by Hurts. Barkley has 20 rushing TDs and two more receiving and Hurts has 18 total rushing TDs, including 3 in the NFC championship win over Washington. Hunt is the go-to back for KC. He's got 9 total TDs, including two in the postseason.
DALLAS GOEDERT OVER 49.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Goedert has become Hurts go-to option. The Eagles will want to establish the run and play action off the run often finds Goedert the primary receiver. He's been the guy in the playoffs with 85 and 56 in each of the past two games.
EAGLES +9/OVER 41 ALTERNATE LINE PARLAY
All credit to JA Cavalier here. You probably won't find this at -125 like he did, but this is absolute money. Anytime you have a spread below three, there is value on the underdog and it lends itself to a teaser. Eagles +9...absolutely. Each of the last three Super Bowls have been decided by 3 points and 41, that's THE key number when it comes to NFL totals. The books are telling us it's going to be a higher-scoring game.
CHIEFS (4Q) -0.5
Here's my second-half thing again. The Chiefs are notoriously strong in the second half. They haven't covered in the 3Q in the postseason, but they covered both 4Qs and they are 11-8 ATS for the season. The second half is all coaching and I lean toward the veteran Reid and his DC Spagnuolo.
JAKE ELLIOTT OVER 6.5 POINTS
OVER 3.5 FIELD GOALS
Here's where I see some great value. With these two defenses, I think we'll see several field goal attempts. Both of these offenses are just too good not to move the ball at times. But, both red zone defenses are very good...top 10 in the NFL. So, the result is more field goal attempts. Last year, there were 7 made field goals. In the Eagles/Chiefs SB LVII, 4 field goals were attempted but Harrison Butker missed one. Elliott has gone Over this number in 7 straight games. He's got 27 points in the playoffs.
Best of luck to everyone and enjoy the game!
Ylose expert Coach Rick Bowe delivers his daily Quick Picks. The Coach continues to roll up big wins in college basketball, college football, the NFL, MLB and much more. Coach Rick offers a unique perspective to handicapping. Check out his daily free picks right here and jump on his daily Best Bets, which you can find right here at Ylose.com/coach.