Coach Rick Bowe, NFL Picks, NFL Free Picks, NFL Predictions 12/21/25
- rbowe7447
- Dec 21, 2025
- 1 min read
PITTSBURGH @ DETROIT (DET -7, 50.5)
DAVID MONTGOMERY OVER 32.5 RUSHING YARDS
Detroit is likely to lean on the run against a suspect Pittsburgh defense. The Steelers rank in the bottom-10 of the NFL against the run and pass. Pittsburgh gave up 200 yards plus in consecutive weeks before holding Miami to 63 last Monday night.
Montgomery has actually failed to go Over this number in 4 of his last 5 games, which allows bettors to get him at a discount here. Last week, his total closed at 30.5 and he went Over. Now, it's up two yards and I would expect he gets at least his average number of carries per game (9.7).
With 9 to 10 carries at 4.7 yards per, Montgomery should hit at least 40 yards against a Pittsburgh defense that recently allowed Baltimore's RB1 and RB2 to go Over their rushing yards prop.
Montgomery has gone Over this number in only 6 of 14 games. However, remember that he does average over 45 rushing yards per game.
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