Giants vs Padres Free Pick, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions 8/20/25
- J.A. Cavalier
- Aug 20, 2025
- 3 min read
SAN FRANCISCO @ SAN DIEGO (SD -160, 8.5)
MLB ODDS, MLB PREDICTIONS, MLB PREVIEWS
GIANTS @ PADRES 8/20/25
Game three of a four-game series between the San Francisco Giants (61-65, 3rd NL West) and their National League West rival, the San Diego Padres (70-56, 2nd NL West), will be played at Petco Park tonight. In the first game of the series, San Francisco defeated the Padres 4-3 on Monday. Last night, Nick Pivetta and the Padres returned the favor.
San Diego's loss to the Giants on Monday was their fourth consecutive defeat. Last night’s win broke that streak. The Padres currently own the second of three NL wildcard spots and are two games behind first-place Los Angeles in the NL West.
The San Francisco Giants rank 21st in on-base percentage (.309), 27th in slugging percentage (.376), and 25th in both runs scored (509) and batting average (.233). Willy Adames leads the Giants with 19 home runs and Matt Chapman has 16. Wilmer Flores leads with 63 RBI, followed by Adames with 62.
Pitching is what has kept San Francisco alive this season. The Giants are ranked fifth in ERA (3.67), seventh in Quality Starts (51), 15th in WHIP (1.28), and 19th in batting average (.244) on the mound. Robbie Ray leads San Francisco in ERA for starters at 2.85, while Logan Webb leads the team in wins with 11 and strikeouts with 175. San Francisco will turn the ball over to Landen Roupp tonight. The right-hander is 7-6 this season with 100 strikeouts, 1.45 WHIP, and a 3.45 ERA.
Manny Machado has been San Diego's best power hitter. He leads the team with a .292 batting average and 20 home runs. Gavin Sheets is second in RBI (54), and Fernando Tatus Jr. is second in home runs (17). Seven players from San Diego have at least 43 RBI.
San Diego pitchers lead the league in batting average against (.226), rank third in ERA (3.58) and WHIP (1.21), and rank 22nd in quality starts (37). Dylan Cease leads San Diego in strikeouts with 171, while Nick Pivetta leads the team in wins with 13 and ERA for starters at 2.81. J.P. Sears will start tonight for the Padres. It will be his second start for San Diego since being acquired from the Athletics.
The Giants have lost 11 of the last 14 meetings with San Diego, and San Francisco has dropped 8 of its last 10 games. In their last 19 games against a National League team, the Padres have won 13 of them. San Diego also has the best bullpen ERA in baseball (2.95), followed by San Francisco (3.29). Last time out, Roupp gave up five hits and five runs in three innings. The Giants have lost both of Roupp's appearances against the Padres this season. Roupp has pitched 10.2 innings against the Padres this season, giving up four earned runs at an ERA of 3.53.-1 with a 3.16 ERA. The Tigers are 5-1 in their last six games. Houston is 2-4 in its last six.A.
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FREE PICK: LANDEN ROUPP OVER 3.5 STRIKEOUTS
If Roupp has done anything, he has shown the ability to rack up some strikeouts. Yes, San Diego is very disciplined and only strikes out an average of 6.97 times per game (3rd-fewest in MLB), but Roupp can get to four. He has gone Over this number in 4 of his last 5 starts and 7 of his last 10. He’s also gone Over this number in both of his appearances against the Padres this season. He struck out 5 in 6.1 innings on June 3 and he whiffed 4 in 4.1 innings on April 30.
