Gimme Props with Luke Shuey, NBA Picks, NBA Free Picks, NBA Predictions 1/22/25
- Luke Shuey
- Jan 22
- 3 min read
NBA: Nick Richards (Suns) OVER 18.5 PRA (pts, rebs, assts)
We finally cooled off a bit last night going 0-2 on free plays with some regression on the VIP card. Small down night has us ready for a bounce-back as we are still wayyyyy up in 2025. 16-8 overall free play run. Let’s get 3 winners here. Grind time. LET’S GO. For the first free prop I want you guys to take Nick Richards of the Suns to go OVER 18.5 PRA. Richards was recently acquired via trade to fill the void the Suns have had in the post with Jusuf Nurkic injured. It was clear Phoenix plans on Richards playing a big role as he posted a massive first game box score, going for 21 points and 11 rebounds against the Pistons. He had less impact last game as the Cavaliers blew them out. I expect starters minutes tonight for Richards against the Nets in what should give him plenty of opportunity to rack up stats. Oddsmakers post his PRA line above his season average which gives me even more confidence in a solid performance tonight. The Nets allow the 10th most fantasy points/game to opposing centers so the matchup works in our favor as well. Enough said here. Back the newest Phoenix Sun as he will benefit from the attention given to Devin Booker and Kevin Durant: Take Nick Richards OVER 18.5 PRA!
NBA: Daniel Gafford (Mavericks) UNDER 13.5 Points
The second free play is going to be a fade spot for Daniel Gafford of the Mavericks. For those that have been following us, we’ve backed Gafford successfully the last few games as he has played increased minutes with Dereck Lively out with an ankle injury. Now, his lines have increased and tonight’s matchup is tough. Lively is listed as questionable but we like this fade regardless of his playing status. Gafford will be going against rim protector Rudy Gobert and Gafford really doesn’t score outside the paint. Gafford’s points line currently sits at O/U 13.5 points which has hit the under in 8 of his last 10 games. I expect Rudy Gobert and Julius Randle to keep him off the block and limit his scoring potential. My analytics have Gafford projected for 10-11 points tonight. A great UNDER look here. Take Daniel Gafford UNDER 13.5 Points for the second free winner!
NBA: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) OVER 1.5 Made 3PT
Onto the third and final free prop. The OKC Thunder face the extremely depleted Utah Jazz roster tonight in what could be a massive blowout. I don’t know if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will play enough minutes to take his point total over and so the best value here is to take his 3PT line. SGA has made exactly one three in 6 straight games, but is averaging 2 made threes per game this season. His line is in such a good buy spot tonight, currently sitting at OVER 1.5 made threes @ -130 odds. He hit the over in his one matchup against Utah this season and he averages about 6 threes attempted per game. I feel that he could get loose with the deep ball tonight in a game he knows shouldn’t be a close one. I won’t spit out any more stats on this line. Obviously, three pointers can be hit or miss but it’s all about VALUE. And this line is great value to buy. Lock in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 1.5 Made 3PT!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.
