Gimme Props with Luke Shuey, NBA Picks, NBA Free Picks, NBA Predictions - 1/31/25
- Luke Shuey
- Jan 31
- 3 min read
NBA: Jeremy Sochan (Spurs) OVER 8.5 Points
This has been the best start to a calendar year of sports betting in my career and we are blessed!! Last night free plays went 2-1 again and the VIP card absolutely smoked the books going 9-2 (3-0 NCAAB sweep) to profit another 113*. New day, more opportunity to crush! I’m starting off by having you guys take Jeremy Sochan of the Spurs to go OVER 8.5 Points. For those of you that don’t know the name, Sochan is actually the Spurs 3rd leading scorer this year at 12.6 points/game but his line is low due to his return from injury. Sochan is in his 4th game back but saw a nice minutes bump last time out, playing 26 minutes. He’s going to be at his season average for minutes tonight but the lines haven’t adjusted to his season average for points so it’s a phenomenal buy-low spot. This is also a game that I think he matches up nicely with an undersized Bucks back court. Sochan is a point-forward at times with his ability to drive and spread things out and he does good work in the paint. The game is expected to be high scoring with the total sitting at 232. In the month of December Sochan would’ve covered a line of 8.5 in 10 of the first 11 games. He will get back to double digit scoring production tonight. Lock in Jeremy Sochan OVER 8.5 Points!
NBA: Kawhi Leonard (Clippers) OVER 2.5 Assists
For the second free prop we bounce things over to the Clippers visiting the Hornets. This has the makings of a potential blowout but before the game gets out of hand I really like Kawhi Leonard to go OVER 2.5 assists. You can tell he is finally back to form and full offensive usage rate capabilities after last game. Leonard had his best outing of the year putting up 27 points, 6 rebounds, and 7 assists. Give me the value play on his assists line against an inferior Hornets team. His line is still sitting at just 2.5 tonight. Leonard has averaged 3+ assists for 5 straight seasons coming into this year. With a very talented Clippers team around him he should find plenty of spots to deliver the ball, increasing his assist potential. Blowout or not he should get us to the window here. Take Kawhi Leonard OVER 2.5 assists!
NBA: Nick Richards (Suns) OVER 19.5 PRA (pts, rebs, assts)
Onto the third and final free prop. We’ve been crushing PRA lines so I wanted to include a value play here as well. I want you to lock in Nick Richards to go OVER 19.5 PRA. For those of you that have been following me you know I’m high on Richards after the trade from Charlotte. He’s filled a critical void in Phoenix’s frontcourt and in this starting lineup he has so much opportunity. We’ve cashed his overs a bunch lately and I’m on it again tonight against Golden State. It’s obvious that KD & Booker will get the majority of the shot attempts tonight but Steve Kerr and the Warriors also do a good job of shutting down your primary offensive sets. I see Richards being the beneficiary of some help defense sagging away from him for easy buckets and he can be a beast on the boards. Richards has two 20+ point games and two 15+ rebound games in just 6 starts with the Suns. He’s facing the likes of Kevon Looney and Quinten Post tonight. Not great interior play. My analytics have Richards projected for 22-25 PRA, well above his current line. Take Nick Richards OVER 19.5 PRA and let’s sweep this card!!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.
