Gimme Props with Luke Shuey, NBA Picks, NBA Free Picks, NBA Predictions 12/20/24
- Luke Shuey
- Dec 20, 2024
- 3 min read
NBA: Bam Adebayo (Heat) UNDER 17.5 Points
Coming off a 2-0 free play sweep in the NFL we look for more value in the Friday night NBA slate. We start things off by taking Bam Adebayo of the Miami Heat to go UNDER 17.5 Points. He averages 16.2 points/game on the year and is facing the stout Oklahoma City Thunder defense that should be playing angry after getting dominated by Milwaukee in the NBA Cup Championship. OKC allows the 3rd fewest points/game to opposing centers and Miami has plenty of other guys looking to shoot the ball. Isiah Hartenstein will make it tough on Bam down low. Lastly, this line has gone under in 8 of his last 10 games. Give me 80% hit rate against a tough matchup ALL DAY. Lock in Bam Adebayo UNDER 17.5 Points!
NBA: Paul George (76ers) UNDER 5.5 Assists
For the second free play I’m dishing you guys a play that will likely end up on my VIP card I like it so much! At surface level the line looks accurate with Paul George averaging 5.1 assists/game on the season. I believe public bettors will be taking the over because crazily enough George has faced this Hornets team three times already this season and he's put up 8, 8, and 9 assists. But NOT SO FAST!!! None of those 3 games featured Joel Embiid suiting up. He's expected to play tonight despite his sinus fracture and look at what Paul George has done in 5 games with Embiid this season. He's averaged just 3.4 assists/game and has NEVER once covered a line of 5.5 assists. Embiid demands such ball dominance and high usage rate in pick & rolls with Tyrese Maxey that George as a distributor is not a priority. I couldn't love this play more after digging into it deeper. Ride with me to cash this one: Take Paul George UNDER 5.5 Assists!
NBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo UNDER 50.5 PRA (pts, rebs, assts)
Onto the third and final free prop tonight and I'm fading the NBA Cup MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo. He flat out dominated the OKC Thunder on Tuesday night but it is inevitably a let down spot here for Milwaukee. Lots of emotion went into winning the in-season tournament and even the best of the best have let down games. Giannis surely isn't that guy that will have lackluster effort so he'll put up plenty of stats, but I think this is a VERY tough spot traveling to Cleveland to take on the top team in the East. The Cavaliers want blood and to solidify themselves as a superior team to the NBA Cup Champs. With the likes of Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley defending the paint I think Cleveland does everything they can to get the ball out of Giannis's hands. They will be fresh and Milwaukee won't have it's normal hype. You can see this by the 9.5-point spread in favor of the Cavaliers. Expect a Cavs win, potentially a blowout, and Antetokounmpo to not have his best statistical performance. Take Giannis Antetokounmpo UNDER 50.5 PRA!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.
