Gimme Props with Luke Shuey, NBA Picks, NBA Free Picks, NBA Predictions, MLB Picks, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions - 4/2/25
- Luke Shuey
- Apr 2
- 3 min read
MLB: Mike Trout (Angels) OVER 1.5 Hits, Runs, & RBIs
Good morning, #PropNation! Another beautiful and profitable day in the books for free plays and VIP clients. We sweep the free play board going 3-0, with Burnes and Booker cashing by a country mile. The VIP team cashes another 5+ units of profit, with the NBA card carrying the weight going 4-1. New day, new opportunity to dominate. I want you guys to take Mike Trout to go OVER 1.5 Hits, Runs, & RBIs on the combo stat line. Trout is going to be a first ballot hall of famer, despite him only playing one playoff series in his career back in 2014. Trout missed almost the entirety of last season but he’s back healthy and this Angels offense is sneaky decent. He hits in the 3-hole, and is likely to see some quality pitches from Sonny Gray, whom he’s had success against in his career, going 10 of 37 with 4 homers and 7 RBIs. Because of his return after a year off Trout’s stat lines have crazy buy-low value, with this line currently sitting at -110 odds. Give me that any day as he can still do it all and get on base frequently. Plus, he’s finally coming off a game where he was 1 for 4 with a run and a 2-RBI double. There are so many ways for a guy like Trout to get us to the window tonight. Take Mike Trout OVER 1.5 Hits, Runs, & RBIs!
NBA: Alex Sarr (Wizards) OVER 16.5 Points
We transition to the NBA where teams are winding down the regular season and there are some big blowout lines tonight. One player that has just been logging a lot of minutes is Wizards rookie Alex Sarr. Tonight he faces the Kings as a 12-point underdog. Sarr has really stepped up his offensive aggression, getting up 15 shot attempts per game since March 1st. A lot of the Wizards lineup is out with injury so it should be Sarr and Poole primarily handling the offensive workload. He’s averaged 16.4 PPG in the month of March and his line has moved up from his 13PPG on the season. I really think Washington will have to score tonight to keep pace, with the O/U at 231.5 points. They are projected for about 109 points tonight and I believe Sarr should easily account for 15% of that to get us to the winwo. I have him projected for 18-22 tonight, a nice advantage on the line with potential for a big number. Lock in Alex Sarr OVER 16.5 Points!
NBA: Tim Hardaway Jr. (Pistons) UNDER 12.5 Points
Onto the third and final free prop where I’m fading Tim Hardaway Jr. of the Pistons. He’s coming off back to back big games of 32 and 20 points, but he’s facing an OKC team that wants to win to get to the historic 70-win mark this season. Hardaway Jr. usually isn’t shy about looking for his own shot, but he’s got a tough task tonight versus the Thunder’s #2 ranked defense. Prior to the last 2 games Hardaway Jr. went under this number in 9 of 10 games, despite averaging 26 minutes per game. He should be in the 26-30 minute range tonight with potential for a blowout and limited action in the 4th quarter. Without Cade Cunningham in the lineup OKC will have a good primary defender on Hardaway Jr. and I only see this game going one way: early big lead so the Thunder can rest their guys down the stretch. I love this as a fade spot with him going against the #1 ranked 3-point defense and him usually relying on this part of his game. Give me Tim Hardaway Jr. UNDER 12.5 Points and let’s sweeeeeep!!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.
