Gimme Props with Luke Shuey, NBA Picks, NBA Free Picks, NBA Predictions, NCAAB Picks, NCAAB Free Picks, NCAAB Predictions 1/30/25
- Luke Shuey
- Jan 30
- 3 min read
NBA: Anfernee Simons (Trailblazers) UNDER 19.5 Points
What an incredible night of basketball! Free props go 3-1 and the VIP card goes 12-3, including an 8-0 college basketball card SWEEP! Just heating up for a March Madness run!! We look to cash more tickets with you all tonight. To tip things off I want you guys to take Anfernee Simons of the Blazers to go UNDER 19.5 Points. Simons is the leading scorer for Portland on the season and is averaging 20.6 PPG in January. Oddsmakers have his line posted at O/U 19.5 but I really think it’ll move down to 18.5 or less by game time. The Blazers just beat the Magic by 22 at Orlando recently and I think the Magic defense will come to play. They are the 2nd ranked defense in the NBA and will force Simons to be more of a distributor tonight. With Jerami Grant back in the lineup there is some real potential with this roster, as they just put on display beating the Bucks handily Tuesday night. My analytics are projecting his shot attempts and 3-PT % to be down tonight and for him to share the ball more, putting up between 15 and 18 points. Lock in Anfernee Simons UNDER 19.5 Points for the first dub!
NBA: Desmond Bane (Grizzlies) OVER 27.5 PRA (pts, rebs, assts)
The next game I have a value prop spot in this big matchup between the Rockets and Grizzlies. Metrics-wise, the Grizzlies offensive players have some quality expected value and one of my favorites is Desmond Bane OVER 27.5 PRA. Bane has turned himself into a true all-around player averaging 17-5-5 on the year while also playing elite defense. In three games against the Rockets this season he’s averaged 25 PRA. Oddsmakers are giving us a tell here posting his line 2.5 PRA above his matchup results, showing us they expect a good game out of him tonight. Bane has gone over this line in 5 of his last 6 games and should be the beneficiary of Houston trying to slow down Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. Look for Bane to be aggressive and knock down some big shots tonight. Lots of ways for him to get to the number. Take Desmond Bane OVER 27.5 PRA!
NCAAB: PJ Haggerty (Memphis) OVER 21.5 Points
For the third free prop we have to give you guys some college hoops action after we capped a perfect 8-0 yesterday. I am loving PJ Haggerty of Memphis to go OVER 21.5 points! One of the best guards in the country nobody is talking about is PJ Haggerty. The Tulsa transfer is averaging 22 Points Per Game and is shooting 42.6% from three this season. Having snipers like Tyrese Hunter and Colby Rogers really open the floor for PJ to be able to drive and create his own shot. The defense also gets sucked in because of talented bigs Dain Dainja and Moussa Cisse. Memphis ranks 37th in the country in tempo as they love to attack on offense. PJ has gone over this number in 4 of his last 6 games and has the potential to drop 30 on any given night. Tulane is 11-9 on the season and has struggled on the defensive end. The Green Wave ranks 142nd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. This is the best team Penny Hardaway has had at Memphis and the Tigers will be focused and ready to pick up a road win tonight. Lock in PJ Haggerty Over 21.5 Points!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.
