Gimme Props with Luke Shuey, NBA Picks, NBA Free Picks, NBA Predictions, NCAAF Picks, NCAAF Free Picks, NCAAF Predictions 1/1/25
- Luke Shuey
- Jan 1
- 3 min read
NBA: Domantas Sabonis (Kings) OVER 15.5 Rebounds
Last night we went 1-2 on free plays with both Giannis and Mobley losing by 0.5 on their lines, very unlucky! However, we had a profitable night for VIP and let’s keep handing out sharp plays as we head into 2025. Happy New Year to everyone, let’s make this the best one yet! First free prop is in the NBA and I’m all over Domantas Sabonis of the Kings to go OVER 15.5 rebounds against Philadelphia. We are backing the #1 rebounder in the NBA. His rebounding prop line usually sits at 13.5 or 14.5 but has soared up to 15.5 because of the matchup. Oddsmakers are telling you the story here and we’re listening. This pick contains high quality line functionality as Sabonis averages 13.6 rebounds/game on the season yet has a line 2 rebounds above that. First, he’s gone over this line in 3 of his last 4 games and he’s facing the Sixers. Philly is for sure without Joel Embiid tonight and backup center Andre Drummond is VERY questionable with a toe injury. If he’s unable to go Sabonis will likely be going up against the 6’8, much less athletic 265-pound Guerschon Yabusele, who only averages 5 RPG on the year. Sabonis should have an absolute field day on the glass as the top man I the NBA against far inferior competition. I truly expect him to easily be in the 17-20 rebound range tonight. Lock in Domantas Sabonis OVER 15.5 Rebounds!
NBA: Paul George (76ers) UNDER 2.5 Made 3PT
For the second free prop I want you guys to actually stay in this same game: 76ers vs Kings. I love fading Paul George from behind the arc. He’s got a line of O/U 2.5 made threes and the under is the play here. Why? George’s three-point numbers are the lowest they’ve been in 10 years and he’s simply not getting up enough looks to hit 3+ consistently. He’s averaging 2 made threes/game on 6.2 attempts, hitting at 31.5%, the lowest since his rookie year. He’s gone under this line in 6 straight games and 9 of the last 10. Give me a 90% hit rate on a 10+ game sample size for a minimal opportunity stat every day of the week! Sure, he could get hot from deep but it’s unlikely. I love this play: Take Paul George UNDER 2.5 Made 3PT!
NCAAF: Jeremiah Smith (Ohio State) OVER 69.5 Receiving Yards
For the third and final free prop you guys aren’t getting out of here without a college football playoff free play! I want you guys to take Jeremiah Smith Over 69.5 Receiving Yards. Ohio State takes on Oregon in the Granddaddy of them all tonight! This is the most anticipated game of the CFP and after the 32-31 game in Eugene, it’s easy to see why. Both of these teams are comfortable playing in the Rose Bowl and have had success there. Freshman standout Jeremiah Smith is coming of an impressive 6 catch for 103 yards and two touchdown performance in Round 1. There aren’t many defenses that can slow down the talent Ohio State has at receiver. The first time they played Smith had 9 catches for 100 yards and a touchdown. Jeremiah has gone over this number in 10/13 games this season. The total is set for 55.5 and we are projecting a back and forth shootout. Lock in Jeremiah Smith Over 69.5 Receiving Yards!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.
