Gimme Props with Luke Shuey, NFL Picks, NFL Free Picks, NFL Predictions, NBA Picks, NBA Free Picks, NBA Predictions 12/30/24
- Luke Shuey
- Dec 30, 2024
- 2 min read
NFL: Jared Goff (Lions) UNDER 0.5 Interceptions
Coming off a 3-0 free prop sweep we look to Monday Night Football for more smoke. I like Jared Goff to go UNDER 0.5 Interceptions. The Lions do need to win to keep the 1-seed in the NFC and Goff has been running this Detroit offense flawlessly. He has 10 interceptions but remember half of those came in one game and 4 of the remaining 5 were in the first 3 weeks of the season. He’s gone without throwing a pick in 10 of the last 12 games, or 83% of the time. San Francisco hasn’t been the defense we’ve been accustomed to seeing this year, they’re eliminated from the playoff race, and haven’t forced an interception in the last 3 games. I love this play and the analytics back me up. Take Jared Goff UNDER 0.5 Interceptions!
NFL: Deebo Samuel (49ers) OVER 48.5 Receiving Yards
The 2nd free play is also in the Monday Night Football game and I’m backing Deebo Samuel to go OVER 48.5 receiving yards. Deebo has been publicly criticized for his lackluster play and being “washed”, but the man can still run high quality routes and get YAC in this league. I really think he’s going to try and finish this season on a positive note, which was seen last week against Miami when he caught 7 passes on 9 targets for 96 yards. The Niners are likely to be playing from behind against the dominant Lions. Plus, Detroit’s pass defense has been atrocious. They rank 28th this season overall and are 31st the last 3 games allowing 294 yards/game through the air. Kyle Shanahan isn’t going to just have this San Francisco team just roll over. Expect them to still be aggressive offensively and feature a nice passing attack tonight. Take Deebo Samuel OVER 48.5 Receiving Yards for a second dub!
NBA: Yves Missi (Pelicans) UNDER 10.5 Rebounds
For free play #3 we bounce over to the NBA where the Pelicans host the Clippers. I like Pelis center Yves Missi to go UNDER 10.5 Rebounds. Missi has a questionable tag due to his back but I anticipate him playing as he has been without issue. Missi averages 8.5 rebounds per game on the season but that’s skewed a little low from his playing time before he was a starter. Since his minute share increased he’s averaging about 10 per game. Missi has gone under this number is his last 4 games and the Clippers allow the 4th fewest rebounds/game. In a game where he has a rough matchup and potentially a decreased minute share, there is great inherent value. This line might move throughout the day but I like it down to 9.5! Analytics have him pegged for 8-9 boards tonight. Lock in Yves Missi UNDER 10.5 Rebounds!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.
