Man City vs Spurs, Premier League, Free Soccer Picks, Predictions 11/23/24
- Neil Mac
- Nov 22, 2024
- 2 min read
Over 3.5 Total Goals: Why It's the Best Bet
The matchup between Manchester City and Spurs promises to be an enthralling encounter, and I’m backing Over 3.5 Total Goals in this one. Here’s why:
Manchester City’s Defensive Struggles: This season, Manchester City’s performances have shown signs of decline, especially in their defensive phase. Their ranking of 8th in non-penalty expected goals against (npxGA) highlights a growing vulnerability. But the most glaring issue? When City concede chances, they tend to be big chances, with an average xGA per attempt sitting at 0.17. To make matters worse, City have only managed one clean sheet since their opening game of the season—and that came against Southampton, currently 20th in the table. In nearly every other game, they’ve conceded at least one goal. With Spurs’ dynamic attack, it's likely they’ll find the back of the net here.
Manchester City’s Offensive Power: While their defense falters, City’s attack remains a consistent threat. In their 8 competitive home games this season, they’ve generated an average of 2.54 xG per game, peppering opponents’ goalkeepers with roughly 21 shots per game. Even in a tough matchup like this, City have the firepower to contribute heavily to a high-scoring affair.
Spurs: Counterattack Kings: Spurs have been lethal this season, ranking #1 in non-penalty chance creation. Their ability to exploit space on the counterattack will be crucial, especially against a City side that likes to dominate possession. With their speed and precision in the final third, Spurs are perfectly poised to capitalize on City’s defensive lapses.
However, Spurs also share City’s defensive vulnerabilities. When Spurs concede chances, they’re often big chances, and they’ve been notably weak at defending set pieces. Spurs' recent away games against Top 6 opponents have averaged 4.2 goals per game across their last 10 fixtures. Everything points to a high-energy, end-to-end contest.
Defensive Losses on Both Sides: Both teams will be missing key defensive players, further tilting this match toward a goal-fest. Defensive gaps combined with the attacking quality of both teams mean we can expect a game that flows back and forth, with plenty of scoring opportunities on both ends.
Why Over 3.5 Goals is the Play: Given the attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses of both Manchester City and Spurs, the Over 3.5 Total Goals line stands out as the safest and most valuable option. This match has all the ingredients of a high-scoring thriller.
Don’t Miss Out on More Winning Picks: If you’re looking to capitalize on more smart plays like this, now is the perfect time. Take advantage of our Black Friday deal to get full access to my expert plays for the rest of the season. Don’t just watch the action—profit from it.
Ylose Soccer expert Neil Mac has been delivering profits month on month with his European Soccer expertise.. Follow all his plays from the Premier League, Bundesliga, La Liga, Ligue 1 Serie A, Champions League, Europa League and Internationals with his weekly package below
