Quick Picks with Coach Rick Bowe, CBB Picks, CBB Free Picks, CBB Predictions 1/29/26
- rbowe7447
- 6 days ago
- 3 min read
STETSON @ NORTH FLORIDA (NF -1.5, 165.5)
CBB ODDS, CBB PREDICTIONS, CBB PREVIEWS
COACH RICK CBB PREVIEWS
HATTERS @ OSPREYS 1/29/26
The Stetson Hatters (7-14) travel to face the North Florida Ospreys (5-16) tonight in an ASUN clash that features two teams looking to find their footing. While both teams have struggled overall, North Florida enters as the slight favorite playing on their home court, where they have historically performed better than on the road.
North Florida started the conference season 0-4 but has won 3 of its last 4 games. The Ospreys are coming off a high-energy 117-114 overtime victory against Bellarmine, which has provided them with much-needed momentum. Historically, North Florida has dominated this specific matchup, winning the last three consecutive games against Stetson and claiming six of the last ten head-to-head meetings.
Statistically, North Florida holds a significant edge in offensive efficiency. They rank 6th in the nation in three-point attempt rate (52.5%) and 13th in free-throw percentage (78.3%). This ability to score from the perimeter and capitalize at the charity stripe is crucial against a Stetson defense that ranks 320th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (116.9) and allows opponents to shoot a staggering 60.1% on 2-point attempts.
As mentioned, North Florida plays better at home. The Ospreys are 4-5 at home, while Stetson is a dismal 1-11 on the road this season. North Florida won the last meeting 79-71 and has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games. Stetson enters this game on a three-game losing streak and has struggled significantly with ball security, ranking 297th in turnover percentage (19.3%).
The matchup nightmare for Stetson will be Kamrin Oriol. Oriol is a high-usage player (27.0% Usg) who shoots 42.5% from beyond the arc. Stetson’s perimeter defense is vulnerable, ranking 289th in three-point percentage defense (35.9%). If Oriol and Kent Jackson (41 made three-pointers) get hot early, Stetson will have a tough time keeping the game within a possession.
In their last road game, Stetson managed only 65 points against Austin Peay. The Hatters effective Field Goal Percentage (eFG%) is just 48.9% (261st) which is one of the reasons why Stetson ranks 317th in Offensive Efficiency.
North Florida will stick to its game plan which includes jacking a ton of threes and getting to the free throw line. Stetson has had a rough time on the road this season. Defensively, they give up over 81 points per game. The Hatters have to find a way to slow down Oriol and Daltom Gayman to have a chance at breaking their losing streak to the Ospreys.
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FREE PICK: NORTH FLORIDA TEAM TOTAL OVER 83.5
North Florida started this season 2-15, but the Ospreys have won 3 of their last 4 games, all Atlantic Sun Conference games. They have beaten Stetson three times in a row. The Hatters are awful on the road. They are 1-11 in road games this season. The defense allows 81 ppg and on the road that number ticks up to 82.4. North Florida plays pretty fast. They rank 27th in possessions per game and they average 81.8 ppg. They shoot more threes per game than any team in the country and they are on their home floor tonight where they average over 92 points per game. North Florida has gone Over this team total in 3 of their last 4 games, going over the 100-point mark twice.
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