Quick Picks with Coach Rick Bowe, MLB Picks, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions 6/10/25
- rbowe7447
- Jun 10
- 2 min read
TAMPA BAY @ BOSTON (BOS -110, 9)
RAYS TEAM TOTAL OVER 3.5
This game opened with the total at 9.5. It's Fenway Park plus Lucas Giolito pitches for the Red Sox. We'll get to him in a moment. But, the game total did drop to 9 and while I liked the Rays team total Over, I like it better at 3.5. If you want the better price at 4.5, go for it.
As mentioned, Giolito gets the start for the Red Sox. He has pitched well on the road this season - 1-0, 2.60 ERA in 3 road starts. At home...different story. Four starts at Fenway, 16.1 innings, and Giolito's ERA is 10.42. Yes, 19 earned runs at home!
The Rays put up 10 last night, though that was in extra innings. Tampa Bay still scored 7 runs in the first 9 innings. That was the second time in three games the Rays hit double digits. Tampa Bay has won 6 of its last 7 and the Rays are averaging nearly 6 runs per game over their last 10.
The Red Sox used 4 of their top 5 bullpen arms last night. If the Rays don't hit 4 runs on Giolito, they'll face a tired Bosox relief staff. At home this season, the Red Sox are allowing 4.58 runs per game. The Rays have scored 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games and in 6 of the last 8 at Fenway Park.
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