Quick Picks with Coach Rick Bowe, MLB Picks, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions 6/15/25
- rbowe7447
- 5 days ago
- 2 min read
SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA (ARI -135, 8.5)
DIAMONDBACKS F5 ML
This one is all about Merrill Kelly. To some extent, it's about Nick Pivetta's struggles too, but Kelly is one of the most profitable F5 pitchers in MLB. If you just bet $100 on the DBacks on the F5 moneyline every time Kelly starts, you'd be up over $520!
Kelly is pitching well this season. He's 6-2 with a 3.18 ERA. Over his last two starts, he's pitched 13 innings and he hasn't allowed an earned run. In his last 12 appearances on the mound, Kelly is 5-1 with a 2.34 ERA. This will be his first start against the Padres this season. In his career, Kelly is 9-4 with a 3.36 ERA in 16 starts against San Diego.
On the other, Pivetta has been struggling as of late. In his past two starts, Pivetta has given up 9 earned runs. He's been tagged for a home run in 4 of his past 5 starts. His numbers are still good - 6-2, 3.48 ERA, but his career numbers against Arizona aren't good either. He only has three appearances against the DBacks, but he's 1-1 with a 4.63 ERA.
Ride the better pitcher early. Arizona has won 4 of the last 5 on the F5 moneyline and they are 20-13-3 in the F5 at home this season.
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