Tigers vs Phillies Free Pick, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions 8/3/25

DETROIT @ PHILADELPHIA (PHI -190, 7.5)

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Tigers vs Phillies Free Pick, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions 8/3/25

TIGERS @ PHILLIES 8/3/25

Tonight, the Detroit Tigers (64-47, 1st AL Central) travel to Citizens Bank Park to play the Philadelphia Phillies (62-47, 1st NL East) in the last game of a three-game series. After blowing a three-run lead in the seventh inning, Detroit lost to Philadelphia 5-4 in the opening game of the series. Yesterday, the Tigers outdueled the Phillies in a battle of aces - Tarik Skubal and Zack Wheeler - to get a 7-5 win.

The Tigers rank fifth in terms of runs scored (536), seventh in terms of slugging percentage (.420), 13th in terms of batting average (.249), and 17th in terms of on-base percentage (.318). Riley Greene leads the Tigers in hits (115), RBI (84), and home runs (26), making him Detroit's most effective hitter. With 23 home runs and 63 RBI, Spencer Torkelson is second in both categories. Five Detroit players have at least 41 RBI. In 111 games, the Tigers have amassed 336 extra base hits, including 140 home runs, 22 triples, and 174 doubles.

Detroit is ranked eighth in WHIP (1.24), ninth in ERA (3.76), 12th in batting average against (.241), and 18th in Quality Starts (37). Detroit's top pitcher in terms of wins (11), strikeouts (171), and ERA for starters (2.09) is Tarik Skubal, who picked up the win yesterday. Charlie Morton, who was recently acquired from Baltimore, will pitch for Detroit on Sunday. The right-hander had a 5.42 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, and 101 strikeouts while pitching 7-8 for the Orioles this season.

In four hitting categories, the Philadelphia Phillies rank among the top ten. Philadelphia ranks sixth in batting average (.254), ninth in slugging percentage (.411), 10th in runs scored (509), and fifth in on-base percentage (.327). With 37 home runs and 87 RBI, Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia in both categories. Nick Castellanos is second in RBI (58), and Bryce Harper is second in home runs (15). Six Philadelphia players have at least 42 RBI. In 109 games, the Phillies have amassed 316 extra base hits, including 176 doubles, 14 triples, and 126 home runs.

Philadelphia pitchers lead the league in Quality Starts (57). They rank 11th in ERA (3.80), 12th in WHIP (1.25), and 18th in batting average against (.245). Cristopher Sanchez will take the mound for Philadelphia tonight. The left-hander has a 2.55 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 139 strikeouts this season. He is  9-3 this season.

Philadelphia has dominated the Tigers recently. Even with last night’s win, Detroit is just 2-9 in its last 11 games against the Phillies. The Tigers are also just 1-5 in their last six games at Citizens Bank Park. Morton doesn’t have the greatest numbers against Phillies hitters either, a 5-7 record and a 4.81 ERA in 20 career appearances.

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FREE PICK: PHILLIES TEAM TOTAL OVER 4.5 RUNS

The Phillies have gone Over this number in 3 of their last 4 games and 6 of their last 9. In their last 5 games against Detroit, the Phillies have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of those games. Tonight, they go up against Charlie Morton. Kyle Schwarber bats .316 against him with 2 home runs. Bryce Harper hits .400 and JT Realmuto bats .276 and these are large sample sizes. The full game Over has cashed in 6 of Philly’s last 9 games and 6 of their last 8 at home. With Morton on the mound, the Phillies cash this again.