Timberwolves vs Warriors Free Pick, NBA Free Picks, NBA Predictions 5/10/25
- J.A. Cavalier
- 2 days ago
- 2 min read
MINNESOTA VS GOLDEN STATE (MIN -5.5, 200.5)
NBA ODDS, NBA PREDICTIONS, NBA PREVIEWS
Timberwolves @ Warriors 5/10/25
The Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors square off tonight in Game 3 of their Western Conference Semifinals series at 8:30 PM ET at Chase Center in San Francisco. With the series tied 1-1, this pivotal matchup will determine which team seizes control. Below is a detailed breakdown of the game, including key storylines, analytics, and betting insights.
The Warriors remain without their superstar, Stephen Curry, who is sidelined with a hamstring injury until at least Game 6. Without Curry, Golden State has struggled offensively, failing to score 100 points in either of the first two games. Buddy Hield has stepped up in Curry’s absence, averaging 19.5 points in the series and shooting 53% from three-point range. His performance will be critical for the Warriors to stay competitive.
Anthony Edwards has been held to 20 points or fewer in both games, with Gary Payton Jr playing a key defensive role. Minnesota showcased its depth in Game 2, with bench players like Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, and Nickeil Alexander-Walker combining for 10 three-pointers. Their ability to exploit Golden State’s defensive gaps has been a key factor.
The Timberwolves’ defense has been stifling, holding Golden State to just 43.2% shooting from the field in Game 2. Meanwhile, the Warriors will need to tighten their perimeter defense after allowing Minnesota to shoot 43.2% from beyond the arc.
The Warriors return to Chase Center, where they’ve been strong historically. However, Minnesota has won four of its last five games in San Francisco, making this a tough test for Golden State. The Timberwolves are averaging 105 points per game in the series, with a 50.6% field goal percentage. The Warriors are struggling without Curry, averaging just 96 points per game and ranking in the 19th percentile for points per possession in Game 2.
Minnesota outscored Golden State 48-27 from beyond the arc, which was a decisive factor in their 24-point victory. Both teams have played at a slower pace, with Golden State averaging just 84 possessions in Game 2. This favors Minnesota’s methodical style.
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FREE PICKS:
Buddy Hield - Over 14.5 Points
Hield has been Golden State’s most consistent scorer in Curry’s absence, averaging 19.5 points in the series and shooting 53% from three. With increased minutes and shot volume, he’s a strong candidate to hit this line.
Draymond Green - Over 5.5 Assists
Green has recorded 5+ assists in four straight games, including six in Game 1. With Curry out, he’ll continue to facilitate the offense.
Anthony Edwards - Under 26.5 Points
Edwards has been held to 23 and 20 points in the first two games, and Golden State’s defensive adjustments could limit his scoring again.
