Bulls vs Celtics Free Pick, NBA Free Pick & Predictions 2/11/26

J.A. Cavalier
3 hours ago
2 min read

NBA ODDS, NBA PREDICTIONS, NBA PREVIEWS

Bulls vs Celtics Free Pick

The Chicago Bulls head into TD Garden tonight for a pivotal Eastern Conference showdown against the Boston Celtics, and the situational edges couldn’t be clearer. Boston enters at 34-19, sitting comfortably as the No. 2 seed in the East with the league’s 3rd-best net rating (+7.3), while Chicago limps in at 24-30 riding a five-game losing streak and navigating the aftermath of trade deadline turnover and mounting injuries.

From a betting perspective, this matchup highlights a sharp contrast in stability and efficiency. The Celtics have consistently controlled games on both ends, pairing elite offensive execution with disciplined defensive rotations. Chicago, meanwhile, has struggled to generate consistent half-court offense and has shown vulnerability on the defensive glass and in transition during this skid.

Boston’s home-court advantage at TD Garden has been a major factor all season, and with the Bulls short-handed and searching for cohesion, the Celtics are positioned to dictate tempo early. If Boston establishes its usual defensive pressure and ball movement, this game could tilt quickly in favor of the home side.

Do you want more NBA free picks from J.A. Cavalier?!

FREE PICK UNDER 227.5

This is a sharp, grown-man bet, not a TikTok parlay. The play is the Under, and it’s not complicated if you actually watch the numbers instead of highlights. Boston is the ultimate pace killer — dead last in the NBA in pace at 95.68. Dead last. That’s not slow… that’s molasses in January. And in a clash of styles, the home team dictates tempo. Period. The Celtics grind you into half-court possessions, ranking 23rd in half-court frequency, which means long trips, late shot clocks, and fewer total possessions. Fewer possessions equals fewer points — this isn’t calculus. Now layer in the absences: no Tatum for Boston, no Giddey, no Smith for Chicago. That’s a massive usage vacuum on both sides. Chicago has cratered offensively during this five-game skid — they just put up 89 in one of them. Eighty-nine. That’s not an NBA score, that’s a halftime score in 2026. Boston at home allows just 108.4 per game — second-lowest in the league — and they’ve gone Under in 33 of 53 games this season, over 62%. That’s not variance, that’s identity. If you’re betting for fireworks here, you’re betting vibes, not data. This has rock fight written all over it — first one to 108 probably wins. Under is the sharp side.