Gimme Props with Luke Shuey, MLB Picks, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions, NBA Picks, NBA Free Picks, NBA Predictions - 5/5/25
- Luke Shuey
- May 5
- 3 min read
NBA: Jalen Brunson (Knicks) OVER 27.5 Points
Good Morning, #PropNation!! Excited to wake up and grind for you guys after we smacked our 100* MONSTER bet last night. Onto today for a fresh start to the week. Two second round NBA playoff games and we start in Boston. As much as Jrue Holiday is one of the best defensive players in the NBA, I’m going Jalen Brunson OVER 27.5 Points. Brunson averaged 27 points per game against Boston in 4 regular season games so the line appears sharp. However, as you saw against Detroit he has an insane usage rate and shot attempt ratio in the playoffs comparatively. Brunson is averaging 7 more shot attempts than the regular season, getting up 25+ shot attempts per game. Plus, he’s averaging 7.3 made free throws per game in the playoffs. He’s so good at drawing contact. Boston may win this game handily but Brunson is going to get his 30+ tonight. He averaged 31.5 PPG in 6 games against Detroit. Lock in Jalen Brunson OVER 27.5 Points for the first dub!
NBA: Russell Westbrook (Nuggets) OVER 10.5 Points
To the Western Conference we go! I am on Russell Westbrook to go OVER 10.5 Points tonight. The Nuggets are coming off a huge emotional blowout Game 7 win and a demanding first round series against the Clippers. He’s the one guy you know will come with full energy no matter what and he hasn’t been shy shooting the ball. I expect Westbrook to log 25+ minutes and he averaged 13.8 PPG on 11+ shot attempts per game in round 1. He also averaged 13.8 PPG against the Thunder in 4 regular season games. I feel like they will effectively try to shut down Jokic and Murray leaving lanes for Westbrook to step on the gas and try to score. Lastly, he’s shooting 41% from three in the playoffs which really increases his value as a multi faceted scorer. This is a nice buy low spot for a veteran 6th man with playoff experience and a never ending motor. Take Russell Westbrook OVER 10.5 Points!
MLB: Pirates vs Cardinals NRFI (No Runs 1st Inning)
For the third and final free prop we head over to Major League Baseball and I want a sweep of the board. I like a NRFI spot where the public may not see one tonight. Pittsburgh visits St. Louis to open a series with Mlodzinksi and Mikolas on the bump. Despite Mlodzinski’s horrible 2025 numbers he has actually limited Cardinals hitters to just a .135 combined career batting average in 37 total at-bats. Mikolas should be better at home and these two teams rank 26th and 28th in runs scored in the first inning. Even money is a really good value spot here for two horrible early offenses. Let’s get the first 6 outs without a run crossing home plate. Take Pirates vs Cardinals NRFI (no runs first inning) and meet you at the window!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.
