Gimme Props with Luke Shuey, NBA Picks, NBA Free Picks, NBA Predictions, NFL Picks, NFL Free Picks, NFL Predictions 11/19/24
- Luke Shuey
- Nov 19, 2024
- 2 min read
Cam Thomas (Nets) UNDER 3.5 Rebounds
For the first free play I want you guys to Cam Thomas of the Brooklyn Nets to go UNDER 3.5 Rebounds. He’s averaging 3.4 per game on the season but the analytics continue to love his unders. Why so? He’s almost always playing on the perimeter and he’s only 6’3. Not a big guy on the court. Plus he’s historically never been a rebounding threat in his 4-year career. Lastly, look at his recent games. Thomas has gone under this line of 3.5 rebounds in 9 of his last 11 games, or 82% of the time. I love bets that cash above 75% for over a 10-game recent sample size. Usually oddsmakers will adjust lines after that long but they still haven’t brought his line down or juiced the under. So let’s keep hammering this value. Take Cam Thomas UNDER 3.5 Rebounds!
Desmond Bane (Grizzlies) UNDER 5.5 Rebounds
Onto free player prop #2 tonight. More rebounding value because the analytics love these lines. This prop line screams line functionality and I’m laying it down on this one. Desmond Bane of the Memphis Grizzlies has a rebounds prop of O/U 5.5 despite averaging 6.3 per game this season. Historically Bane is also not a beast on the boards. He averaged just 4.4 per game last season and 4.2/game over his 5-year career. The line here is telling us they expect him to be around the 4 rebound mark and more often than not following these trends is profitable. Let’s cash another ticket. Take Desmond Bane UNDER 5.5 Rebounds!
David Joplin (Marquette) UNDER 14.5 Points
For free play #3 we go over to college hoops which is heating up. I want you guys to look at David Joplin (Marquette) Under 14.5 Points. David Joplin and the Marquette Golden Eagles are hosting the Purdue Boilermakers in an exciting Top-15 matchup. Both teams are off to 4-0 starts and coming off impressive victories. Marquette lost Tyler Kolek and Oso Ighodaro to the NBA this season and will be looking for others to step up and fill those big shoes. So far Kam Jones has answered the call averaging 24-5-4. After a 27 point performance against George Mason where Joplin couldn’t miss, David is in a slump. He is 2-20 from the field and 1-17 from deep. Joplin relies on the three ball, accounting for 40 percent of his points this season. Purdue is only allowing opponents to shoot 28 percent from 3 and just held the explosive Crimson Tide offense to 31 percent. Look for Purdue to run Joplin off the 3 point line and force him to put the ball on the floor where he has struggled with turnovers. Joplin is too good of a shooter to stay in this slump forever, but we don’t think he is coming out of it tonight. Lock up David Joplin Under 14.5 Points!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.
