Gimme Props with Luke Shuey, NFL Picks, NFL Free Picks, NFL Predictions 9/4/25
- Luke Shuey
- Sep 4
- 2 min read
NFL: Javonte Williams (Cowboys) UNDER 9.5 Carries
Another profitable 2-1 night for free picks and one out away from our largest VIP night ever last night…. and now NFL FOOTBALL IS HERE!!! I’ve got two picks for you in tonight’s opening game and one bonus MLB selection. Let’s dive right in!! For the first free prop I’m looking to fade Cowboys newly acquired RB Javonte Williams in the carries/rushing attempts category. They will try to establish the run, splitting carries between the veteran Williams and rookie Jayden Blue. However, I just don’t think there will be enough attempts to go around in a game Dallas will be playing from behind. Dak Prescottt will have to air it out to try and keep pace with the Eagles in this one. Philly’s defense was #1 in the NFL last year for yards allowed so Dallas will have to get creative in this one. I have Willians pegged for 7 carries, a nice advantage on the line of 9.5! Lock in Javonte Williams UNDER 9.5 Carries and let’s cash!
NFL: Dallas Goedert (Eagles) OVER 3.5 Receptions
On the other side of the ball I’m targeting Jalen Hurts’ safety blanket, tight end Dallas Goedert. Last season he played through injury for a lot of the season but he’s back and healthy in a multifaceted offense. Goedert ranges from quick dump offs, to seam routes, to check downs so the best way to take advantage is via his receptions prop line (O/U 3.5). The OVER is the play here as Goedert averaged over 4 catches/game last year despite the injuries. Hurts will look to him early and often as the Cowboys attempt to slow down Barkley, Brown, and company. Let’s predict the stat line: Goedert ends tonight with 5 catches for 44 yards and a TD. Take Dallas Goedert OVER 3.5 Receptions - BOOK IT!!
MLB: Blake Snell (Dodgers) UNDER 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed
For the third and final free pick tonight we jump over to Major League Baseball where I’m backing Blake Snell of the Dodgers in a big way. Los Angeles has to win tonight to avoid getting swept by the lowly Pirates. He’s dominated this lineup in his career as Pirates hitters are hitting a combibed .193 off Snell with just TWO RBIS IN 71 AT-BATS. Notably, the Pirates are on a 6-game home win streak but are amongst the worst few teams in the MLB at hitting lefties. Snell is not the southpaw you want to see to improve your numbers. I see him tossing 5-6 shutout innings. Take Blake Snell UNDER 1.5 Earned Runs and LET’S SWEEP!!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.
