Gimme Props with Luke Shuey, NFL Picks, NFL Free Picks, NFL Predictions, NBA Picks, NBA Free Picks, NBA Predictions 1/5/25
- Luke Shuey
- Jan 5
- 3 min read
NFL: Zach Charbonnet (Seahawks) OVER 51.5 Rushing Yards
What a Saturday slate we had as a betting community!! 3-0 sweep of free plays and a 13-4 (+153*) VIP card for the 6th straight day of profit. Let’s keep this cash cow money train rolling with 3 more free winners! For the first free play I am looking at the Seahawks vs Rams matchup. I want you guys to take Zach Charbonnet to go OVER 51.5 rushing yards. While the Rams could still face several different opponents in the playoffs, Sean McVay made it very clear he is comfortable letting the chips fall as they may and resting his starters this week to be ready for the playoff run. Because of this, I really expect the game to be fairly anticlimactic and feature some basic play calling from both sides. Seattle is likely to hand the rock to Charbonnet all afternoon and I think racking up 52+ yards shouldn’t be too difficult. He is the feature back without Kenneth Walker going against the 24th ranked Rams run defense that is sitting their starters. Lastly, everyone is talking about individual incentives this week and Geno Smith has 6 million dollars on the line if he has 185+ passing yards, a 69.7% completion % and wins the game. Seattle may pass early to achieve these metrics but then run it all game to keep his % up and win the game. The analytics back this play, projecting Charbonnet for 70+ yards. Lock in this first dub: Take Zach Charbonnet OVER 51.5 Rushing Yards!
NFL: Josh Jacobs (Packers) UNDER 79.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards
For free prop #2 I’m staying in the NFL and I’m going against a prop that has made us good money this year. Josh Jacobs has been a workhorse for the Green Bay Packers racking up tons of all purpose yardage. However, Green Bay doesn’t have particularly a lot to play for today besides hoping to avoid traveling to Philly for the Wild Card round. I expect Jacobs to be on a pitch count today to save his health for the playoffs and the numbers back this up. Head coach Matt LaFleur is publicly adamant that the starters will play and play well this week but I think that means early in the game. He has no reason to beat up his top tailback and a major key to this offense. To take advantage of this, I like fading Jacobs' combo stat line and go UNDER 79.5 rushing & receiving yards. Lastly, expect the Bears to play decent as this is the last chance for their team to make a statement in the oldest rivalry in the NFL. Take Josh Jacobs UNDER 79.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards!
NBA: Dennis Schroder (Warriors) OVER 11.5 Points
Onto the third and final free prop of this Sunday card and I’m bouncing over to the NBA for a value play that will likely be on our VIP card. I absolutely love Dennis Schroder to go OVER 11.5 points tonight as the Warriors host the Kings. Schroder was acquired by Golden State in a mid-December trade and he’s been playing an important role. He hasn’t shot the ball particularly well but has picked up his scoring the last 3 games putting up 12, 15, and 17 points. The veteran point guard is averaging 16.3 PPG on the season and was called on last night to produce more with Steph Curry sitting out. He answered the call and it might be the same scenario tonight if Curry doesn’t play. Regardless of his status Schroder will get the start and I see him getting 10+ shot attempts. With his potential production this line tonight has great value. Ride with us on this one: Take Dennis Schroder OVER 11.5 Points and let's sweep 3-0!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.
