
NFL: Isaiah Pacheco (Chiefs) OVER 42.5 Rushing Yards
It’s a BIG Saturday card today filled with NFL, NBA, and NCAAB. We are currently on an 11-2 (85%) free prop run and I am dialing up some more winners for the community! I’m starting things off with the first NFL Divisional Round playoff game: Texans visiting the Chiefs. I LOVE Isaiah Pacheco to go OVER 42.5 rushing yards. He hasn’t looked as explosive since returning from injury this season and Kareem Hunt has stolen a lot of his touches, but it’s winter in Kansas City and Pacheco was a huge reason they won the Super Bowl last season. In 4 postseason games last year he averaged 78 rushing yards/game and his downhill style of running is tough on defenses in the cold. I really think he will come in with fresh legs and force Andy Reid to ride the hot hand at running back. Lastly, let’s not forget the Chiefs defense is ELITE and they are favored by 8 & ½ points. It’s very likely Kansas City will control the ball for the majority of this game with a lead and have countless running downs. The Texans allowed 128 rushing yards/game over their last 3 games and I expect plenty more today. Lock in Isaiah Pacheco OVER 42.5 Rushing Yards!
NFL: Jayden Daniels (Commanders) OVER 237.5 Passing Yards
For free play #2 we have to head to the NFC Playoffs as the Commanders try to upset the 1-seed Lions. While the public hammers all of the Detroit Lions props I’m going to sharply look at the value play on Commanders rookie Jayden Daniels. Rookie quarterbacks and the playoffs usually don’t mix. But Daniels looked poised and confident as he beat Tampa Bay on the road last week. I absolutely love the over on his passing line tonight. One of my favorite takes in the NFL playoffs is backing the talented QB on the underdog team because they will never give up and do everything to put points on the board for 4 quarters. I see Detroit controlling this game and Washington having to play from behind. Daniels is more than capable of airing it out and the books show us the over is the play. Daniels only averaged 210 passing yards/game on the season but they put his total at O/U 237.5 against the 1-seed Lions?? That’s because Detroit ranks 29th in passing defense giving up 244 yds/game and 288 yds/game over their last three. Their defense has had some key injuries and could have a hard time stopping Terry McLaurin and company. Daniels tossed for 268 yards last week and I have him pegged for 250+ again tonight. Take Jayden Daniels OVER 237.5 Passing Yards and let’s dominate!
NCAAB: Zeke Mayo (Kansas) OVER 16.5 Points
Onto the final free props in college hoops on this big saturday slate. I want you guys to take Zeke Mayo of Kansas to go OVER 16.5 Points. Kansas is coming off a tough loss to Iowa State where Bill Self questioned their competitiveness. This is a tremendous spot to take advantage of a bounce back situation with Bill Self. He will have his team ready to go Saturday morning when Kansas takes on in-state rival Kansas State in Lawrence. Zeke Mayo has had a terrific first year in Kansas after three impressive years at San Diego State. Zeke has stepped up as one of the leading scorers averaging 14 points per game and shooting 37% from deep. Mayo should be able to take advantage of this Kansas State defense that ranks 108th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Wildcats also allow opposing teams to shoot 36% from three, which ranks 306th in the country. Zeke has gone over this number in 5 of his last 7 games and averaged over 31 minutes during that stretch. Look for Kansas to bounce back offensively and Zeke Mayo to roll in this favorable matchup. Lock in Zeke Mayo Over 16.5 Points!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.