Pacers vs. Knicks Free Pick, NBA Free Pick & Predictions 2/10/26

J.A. Cavalier
4 hours ago
2 min read

NBA ODDS, NBA PREDICTIONS, NBA PREVIEWS

Pacers vs. Knicks Free Pick

The New York Knicks return to Madison Square Garden tonight riding momentum and confidence as they host the Indiana Pacers in an Eastern Conference matchup featuring two teams headed in very different directions. New York enters at 34–19, firmly entrenched as the No. 2 seed in the conference, while Indiana sits near the bottom of the league at 13–40 after a season defined by inconsistency and growing pains.

Oddsmakers have installed the Knicks as heavy home favorites, with the spread currently ranging from -11.5 to -12.5. That number reflects not only the disparity in records, but also New York’s recent form at home, where defensive discipline, rebounding, and controlled tempo have consistently worn down overmatched opponents.

Indiana, meanwhile, continues to struggle on both ends of the floor, particularly against teams that can dictate pace and limit transition opportunities. Against a Knicks squad that thrives in halfcourt execution and defensive pressure, the Pacers face an uphill battle to remain competitive for a full 48 minutes.

From a betting perspective, this game sets up as a classic mismatch driven by form, depth, and situational edges. With New York pushing for postseason positioning and Indiana playing out the string, the Knicks are well-positioned to control game flow early and maintain separation, creating several attractive angles across spreads, totals, and game-script-based non-player prop markets.

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FREE PICK UNDER 225.5

This is one of those totals that looks tempting until you actually read the room, because yes, the Knicks are top-three in offensive rating, but they play basketball like it’s a tax audit. They’re 24th in pace at 98.5 possessions, they grind you into dust in the halfcourt where they rank sixth in points per 100 plays, and Indiana? Indiana doesn’t have a pulse right now. No Haliburton, Nesmith and McConnell banged up, and this offense just scraped together 104 points against a Raptors defense that isn’t exactly Alcatraz. New York’s been clamping teams under 100 like it’s a hobby, and at the Garden they dictate tempo like a veteran boxer leaning on you in the clinch. This is a classic sharp correlation play: Knicks control the game, Knicks cover the number, and Indiana struggles to crack triple digits. Public sees the Knicks and thinks fireworks—pros see pace, injuries, and a total that’s a little too rich. Under 225.5, hold your nose, cash the ticket, and move on.