PHILLIES VS BREWERS FREE PICK, MLB FREE PICKS, MLB PREDICTION 9/17/24
- J.A. Cavalier

- Sep 17, 2024
- 3 min read
PHILADELPHIA @ MILWAUKEE (PHI -139, 7.5)
MLB ODDS, MLB PREDICTIONS, MLB PREVIEWS

PHILLIES @ BREWERS 9/17/24
The Phillies will travel to Milwaukee to play the Brewers in Game 2 of their three-game series tonight. Philadelphia won by a run against New York on Sunday and the Phillies took a nine-game lead in the National League East going into Monday. Milwaukee won the first game of the series last night and hte Mets beat Washington to cut the Phillies lead to eight.
Philadelphia has performed admirably offensively this season, batting.251. As a team, the Phillies average 4.87 runs per game, which leaves them tied with the Brewers for fourth in MLB. With a batting average of .294 this season, Trea Turner leads Philadelphia's offense. Alec Bohm has amassed a team-high 148 hits and he just recently returned from an injury. For Philadelphia, Bryce Harper has been a huge asset, leading the team in OBP (.376). He’s second in batting average (.289). Kyle Schwarber is the team's leader in RBIs with 95 and in home runs with 35.
The Brewers are currently atop the National League Central standings. They are 23 games above .500. The Milwaukee offense has a .250 batting average and, as mentioned in fourth in the majors in scoring. This season, the Milwaukee lineup has been outstanding with 169 singles and a .408 team OBP. The Milwaukee bullpen, which has a 3.66 ERA, has also been outstanding.
Milwaukee's offensive leader this season, William Contreras, has a .280 batting average and 157 hits to lead the club. Brice Turang is hitting .259 with 53 RBIs. Jackson Chourio has amassed 77 RBIs and 21 home runs. In addition, Rhys Hoskins has added 73 RBIs and 24 home runs. With 30 doubles and 109 RBIs, Willy Adames is another key part of the Milwaukee offense.
Prior to last night, the Phillies had won 5 of 6 games. All 6 of those games were at home. Philadelphia lost last night on the road making it three straight road losses for the Phillies. Despite the loss, the Phillies are 11-4 in their last 15 games. Six of the Phillies last nine games have cashed on the Over.
Milwaukee’s win last night was the first in five games against the Phillies. Philadelphia is now 4-1 against Milwaukee in the last five. As good as the Brewers offense is, the total has gone Under in 7 of the last 10 Milwaukee games.
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Coach Rick Bowe Free Picks
FREE PICK: PHILLIES-BREWERS UNDER 7.5
Zack Wheeler has allowed 2 ER or fewer in eight straight starts. Six of the eight games went Under the total. Milwaukee is trending Under with a 3-6-1 O/U record in the last 10 games. The series between the two teams has trended Under as well. The O/U record in the last 10 between the two is 2-7-1. Frankie Montas starts for Milwaukee. He’s given up 3 ER in his last two starts, a total of 12 IP. Both starts went Under the total.
FREE PICK: TIGERS-ROYALS OVER 8
The Tigers beat the Royals last night 7-6 in a game that went Over the total. It was the sixth time in the last eight games between the two teams that the total went Over. Four of the last five Tigers-Royals games played at Kauffman Stadium have also gone Over the total. Cole Ragans pitched well in his last two starts, but he has given up 4 and 5 ER in two of his last five starts. Detroit starter Casey Mize is not in great form and 4 of his last 5 starts have ended up Over the total.
FREE PICK: YANKEES-MARINERS F5 UNDER 4.5
Luis Gil and Bryan Woo have each had very strong seasons in 2024. Gil is actually one of the most profitable F5 pitchers in baseball. He is 15-5-4 on the F5 moneyline. He’s allowed more than 2 ER just three times in his last 9 starts. He is 13-6 this season with a 3.18 ERA. Six of his last nine starts have gone Under the total. Woo is one of the more underrated pitchers in MLB. He’s 8-2 with a 2.38 ERA. Woo has given up 2 ER or less in 5 of his last 6 starts and only 2 of his last 6 starts have gone Over the total. These two pitchers will duke it out in the F5 tonight.


