Quick Picks with Coach Rick Bowe, CBB Picks, CBB Free Picks, CBB Predictions 1/15/26
- rbowe7447
- 20 hours ago
- 2 min read
NEW MEXICO STATE @ LIBERTY (LIB -8.5, 142.5)
FREE PICK: LIBERTY -8.5
Liberty is a heavy favorite for several reasons, primarily their dominance at home and New Mexico State's struggles on the road. The Flames are a perfect 8-0 at Liberty Arena this season, where they average 90 points per game and shoot a staggering 45.1% from three-point range. New Mexico State, meanwhile, is 0-3 in true road games this season and has struggled to find offensive consistency away from Las Cruces.
Statistically, Liberty’s offensive execution is the best in C-USA. They rank 18th nationally in 3-point percentage (38.5%) and 20th in 2-point percentage (59.8%). While New Mexico State’s defense is solid, they rank 346th in the nation in FTA/FGA, meaning they put opponents on the line far too often. Against a disciplined Liberty team that takes care of the ball (25th in TO%), these extra possessions will likely allow the Flames to pull away.
Key Trends:
Liberty has won its last four conference games by eight or more points.
New Mexico State has lost three of its last four games entering tonight.
Liberty leads the all-time series 3-1 and is 2-0 against the Aggies in Lynchburg.
Liberty has won 110 of its last 121 games at home. It should also be noted that playing at home in Conference USA is one of the biggest advantages among all conferences. Road teams in C-USA this season are a combined 7-23 SU.
Liberty's Pack-Line defense is designed to take away the dribble penetration of guys like
New Mexico State's Jemel Jones (15.9 PPG). Without a consistent outside threat to break the pack-line, the Aggies will find it difficult to pull off the upset in a hostile environment.
Liberty is 13-3 overall and 5-0 in C-USA.
New Mexico State is 9-6 overall and 2-3 in C-USA.
Liberty has a 13-game home winning streak dating back to last season.
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