Quick Picks with Coach Rick Bowe, MLB Picks, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions 4/30/25

Quick Picks with Coach Rick Bowe, MLB Picks, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions 4/30/25

WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA (PHI -225, 8.5)

PHILLIES OVER 4.5

Jake Irvin gets the start for Washington. On paper, he looks really good. Irvin is 2-0 and has a 3.19 ERA. More importantly, the Nationals have won each of his last three starts. In those three games, Irvin has pitched 20.2 innings, struck out 19, picked up two wins, and has an ERA of 1.31.

However, if you dig a little deeper, you'll see that Irvin has an expected ERA of 4.81. He also has a FIP of 4.25. Both of these numbers suggest some regression is coming for Irvin. He has one start against Philadelphia this season. Irvin pitched 5 innings and gave up 7 hits, one of which was a home run. He would only give up 2 earned runs, but Philadelphia went on to win that game 11-6.

For his career now, Irvin is 0-3 against Philadelphia and has a 5.57 ERA. Current Phillies hitters have some strong numbers against Irvin. I think they can get to him tonight and push through at least a few runs.

The Phillies will definitely be able to plate a few more runs against what is the worst bullpen in the majors. Washington relievers have a collective 7.47 ERA. Philly has scored 6 or more runs in 2 of its last 3 games and in 4 of the last 5 against Washington.

Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in the last 5 against Washington. The Phillies have also won 9 of the last 10 against the Nationals when playing at home. Philadelphia has averaged nearly 5 runs per game in the last 10 against Philadelphia and at home this season, the Phillies average 5.31 runs per game.

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Ylose expert Coach Rick Bowe delivers his daily Quick Picks. The Coach continues to roll up big wins in college basketball, college football, the NFL, MLB and much more. Coach Rick offers a unique perspective to handicapping. Check out his daily free picks right here and jump on his daily Best Bets, which you can find right here at Ylose.com/coach.