Quick Picks with Coach Rick Bowe, MLB Picks, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions 5/22/25
- rbowe7447
- May 22
- 2 min read
ATLANTA @ WASHINGTON (ATL -160, 8.5)
NATIONALS F5 +0.5
Trevor Williams takes the mound for Washington having just faced Austin Smith-Shawver and the Braves in his last start. Williams only pitched 4.1 innings and left after allowing 3 earned runs. Today, he gets some payback.
Williams has actually pitched pretty well against Atlanta in his career. In 8 career starts against the Braves, Williams is 3-2 with a 3.50 ERA. Overall this season, he is 2-5 with a 5.91 ERA, but his underlying numbers suggest that he has been unlucky and has some positive regression coming.
Williams xERA is 3.66 and his FIP 3.76. Yes, Williams has given up a few base hits over his past five starts, but the Nationals defense has not done a great job of turning double plays. The Nats ranks 25th in MLB in double plays per game. They also have a knack for committing costly errors when Williams is on the mound.
Over their last five games, Washington has covered the F5 run line four times. The Nationals are also 14-9 against the F5 spread in 23 home games this season. The Braves are 12-14 F5 ATS in their road games this season.
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