Yankees vs Astros Free Pick, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions 9/2/25
- J.A. Cavalier
- 1 day ago
- 3 min read
NY YANKEES @ HOUSTON (NYY -120, 7.5)
MLB ODDS, MLB PREDICTIONS, MLB PREVIEWS

YANKEES @ ASTROS 9/2/25
Tuesday's MLB game between the Houston Astros and New York Yankees will take place at Daikin Park.
The Yankees have a tough schedule ahead. After the Astros, the Blue Jays, Tigers, and Red Sox are the next opponents for the 76-61 New York Yankees. The Yankees have a .456 slugging percentage, a .331 OBP, and a .250 batting average for the season. The pitching staff of the New York Yankees has a 1.26 WHIP and a 3.92 ERA. Cody Bellinger and Paul Goldschmidt have combined for 259 hits and 126 RBI, while Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 149 hits and 97 RBI.
This season, Max Fried, who pitches for the New York Yankees, is 14-5 with a 3.06 ERA and 154 strikeouts. Fried's career record against the Houston Astros is 0-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
The Astros are 76-62 this season. Houston has a .401 slugging percentage, a .319 OBP, and a .253 batting average for the season. The pitching staff of the Houston Astros has a 1.22 WHIP and a 3.82 ERA. Christian Walker and Jeremy Pena have combined for 247 hits and 125 RBI, while Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 141 hits and 68 RBI.
The Houston Astros' Framber Valdez starts tonight and he is 12-7 with a 3.18 ERA and 158 strikeouts so far this season. Against the New York Yankees, Valdez is 0-1 with a 6.46 ERA and 21 strikeouts.
In August, Fried was clearly not his usual self. He gave up 32 hits and 16 runs in 28 innings. Despite the rough month, Fried has been reliable much of this season. On the road, Fried's numbers are not as good as at home. His ERA on the road is 3.71 ERA and he allows opponents to hit .241.
It was a similar story for Valdez who pitched 30.1 innings and gave up 34 hits and 19 earned runs in August. But in 84.2 home innings this season, Valdez has a 1.70 ERA and a .207 allowed batting average. Tonight’s matchup has the makings of a pitcher’s duel if both pitchers can find their earlier season form.
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FREE PICK: MAX FRIED UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS
Fried allowed 2 earned runs or less in his first 11 starts of the 2025 season. Between July 1 and August 16, Fried had a stretch of 8 starts. He allowed 3 or more earned runs in 7 of them, allowing 4 or more in 5 of the 8. He has shown promise of that earlier season form though. In his last two starts against Boston and Washington, Fried allowed 0 and 1 earned run. He did give up 4 ER to Houston on Aug. 10, but Fried is projected to Under 2.5 tonight against a Houston team that often struggles at home.