Yankees vs Red Sox Free Pick, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions 6/14/25

NY YANKEES @ BOSTON (NYY -175, 8.5)

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Cardinals vs Brewers Free Pick, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions 6/12/25

YANKEES @ RED SOX 6/13/25

This season, the Yankees have been the moneyline favorite 59 times. They are 39–20 record in those games. When playing as moneyline favorites of -169 or less, New York has an 18-6 record, which gives the Yankees a win percentage of 75 percent.

The Red Sox have won 10 (43.5%) of their 23 games as the underdog. When Boston is the underdog at a price of at least +141 on the moneyline, it has only won two of five games this season.

With an average of 5.4 runs per game, the Yankees have the third-best offense in MLB. They also have hit an MLB-best 108 home runs, an average of 1.6 per game. The Yankees also bat .260, which ranks No. 2 in the majors.  Because of their high-powered offense, the Yankees see a lot of large game totals. Their Over/Under record for the season is 30-34-2 as a result.

While they can definitely hit, New York also has one of the better pitching staffs in baseball. Collectively, all Yankees pitchers have a 3.68 ERA, which ranks 10th. They have the second-best K/9 numbers and average 8.8 strikeouts per game. Tonight, it will be Carlos Rodon for the Yankees. He has become a strong No. 2 option after Max Fried. Rodon is 8-4 with a 2.87 ERA this season.

The Yankees had won four consecutive Rodon starts before last week. Rodon was tagged for 5 earned runs in an 11-7 loss to the Red Sox.

Boston’s offense is no slouch either. The Red Sox rank fifth in MLB, scoring 4.89 runs per game. They are also top 10 (seventh) in home runs with 88. Rafael Devers has a team-high 14 and Wilber Abreyu has 13. Collectively, the Red Sox hit .255, which ranks sixth. Boston does strike out a lot though, averaging 9.3 strikeouts per game.

Hunter Dobbins gets the start for the Red Sox. He is 3-1 with a 4.20 ERA this season. He likely won’t go deep in the game. Dobbins hasn’t pitched past the fifth inning since May 9. He’s also only allowed more than 3 earned runs once in his last five starts. Dobbins was the winning pitcher in that 11-7 win over the Yankees last week.

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COACH RICK FREE PICK:

HUNTER DOBBINS OVER 2.5 EARNED RUNS

Dobbins faced the Yankees just last week. He pitched five innings, gave up four hits, two of which were home runs, and 3 earned runs. Yankees hitters will have the advantage of having seen Dobbins and they should get to him early, especially at Fenway where games typically have 10 or more runs. Plus, after last night’s 2-1 game, the Yankees bats should explode. New York has scored just one run in each of its last two games, but prior to that they scored 7.9 runs over five games, three of which were against Boston. Dobbins has allowed 3 or more earned runs in 4 of his last 8 starts