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Phillies vs Padres Free Pick, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions 7/13/25

  • Writer: J.A. Cavalier
    J.A. Cavalier
  • 3 days ago
  • 3 min read

PHILADELPHIA @ SAN DIEGO (SD -130, 7.5)

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PHILLIES @ PADRES 7/13/25

The Philadelphia Phillies travel to play the San Diego Padres on Sunday afternoon in the final game before both teams' All-Star break. It's the last game of a three-game series between National League rivals and the Phillies are looking to avoid the sweep after Saturday night’s 5-4 loss.

 

Philadelphia was defeated in the first game of this series on Friday night, falling for the third time in four games. The Phillies is now 54-41 on the season. They are a half-game behind the Mets for the top NL East spot. Manny Machado’s sacrifice fly in the seventh inning proved to be the game-winner last night.

 

In the season finale, the Phillies' Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball and makes his 19th start of the year. This season, he has pitched 107.2 innings and is 7-2 with a 2.59 ERA, 1.133 WHIP, 29 walks, and 116 strikeouts. In his most recent start on the road on Monday against the Giants, Sanchez was not involved in the decision. The Phillies lost 3-1 and he pitched seven innings, giving up one run on seven hits, one walk, and eight strikeouts. Sanchez has a 1-0 record in his last three starts, pitching 20 innings with a 1.35 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, one walk, and 24 strikeouts. Sanchez starts against the Padres for the fourth time in his career. In 19 innings against them, he has a 2-1 record, a 2.37 ERA, a 0.842 WHIP, two walks, and 15 strikeouts.

 

San Diego now has three straight wins after last night’s victory. With a 52-43 record going into Sunday, the Padres are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the top spot in the NL West. The Padres trailed for most of the game on Saturday. Jackson Merrill hit two home runs off of Philly starter Zack Wheeler.

 

In this game, Padres pitcher Nick Pivetta takes the mound for the 19th time this season. This season, he has pitched 102.2 innings and is 9-2 with a 3.07 ERA, 1.032 WHIP, 27 walks, and 114 strikeouts. In his most recent start at home against the Diamondbacks, Pivetta didn’t get the win. In a 1-0 Padres victory, he pitched 5.2 scoreless innings, giving up two hits, three walks, and seven strikeouts. Pivetta is 2-0 in his last three starts, recording a 0.48 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, two walks, and 23 strikeouts in 18.2 innings pitched.

 

Pivetta starts for the fourth time in his career against Philadelphia tonight. He has pitched 14 innings and is 1-1 with a 5.79 ERA, 1.643 WHIP, six walks, and 14 strikeouts. In 12 career appearances, 11 of which have been starts, Pivetta is 6-1 at Petco Park with a 2.59 ERA, a 0.924 WHIP, 14 walks, and 81 strikeouts over 66 innings. He is 6-0 with a 2.30 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP in 58.2 innings at Petco Park this season.

  

Get free MLB Picks and MLB Predictions for the top games on the weekly 2025 MLB schedule from JA Cavalier, one of the industry's premier expert MLB handicappers. J.A. Cavalier has been  bringing the MLB betting community the MLB free picks and predictions for nearly three decades. Visit daily for the best MLB moneyline and run line odds and game totals. 


First 5 UNDER 4.5

Two ace pitchers start the game for Philadelphia and San Diego. Sanchez is one of the most consistent pitchers in MLB this season. He’s 7-2 with a 2.59 ERA this season. In 18 starts, Sanchez has allowed 3 ER or less in 17 of them. Over his last 3 starts, he’s pitched 20 innings and allowed 3 ER. Pivetta has similar numbers and he’s better at home. He’s 2-0 with a 0.48 ERA over his last three starts and he’s 6-0 with a 2.30 ERA at home this season. The Phillies have issues scoring on the road and 5 of their last 7 games have gone Under the F5 total.



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