Gimme Props with Luke Shuey, NBA Picks, NBA Free Picks, NBA Predictions, MLB Picks, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions - 4/3/25
- Luke Shuey
- Apr 3
- 3 min read
NBA: Ryan Rollins (Bucks) OVER 11 Points
We are 7-3 in our last 10 free props and it’s time to keep the 70% going!! We start in the NBA and I love every Milwaukee Bucks point prop over tonight. They’re playing the abysmal 76ers makeshift roster whose defense is atrocious. Plus, Milwaukee only played an 8-man rotation last game, meaning guys are getting tons of minutes and shot attempts. I like Giannis, Lopez, and Rollins tonight but my official free play is Ryan Rollins OVER 11 points. Rollins has really stepped into the scene late this year with Damian Lillard out due to a deep vein thrombosis. Prayers up for Dame’s recovery but Rollins is showing some serious talent. He’s averaging 17.5 points/game over his last four games and his minutes continue to increase. He’s in the starting lineup and should get up 10-13 shot attempts tonight. I love this value play for a non-household name: Take Ryan Rollins OVER 11 Points!
NBA: Jaren Jackson Jr. (Grizzlies) UNDER 6.5 Rebounds
My second free play is also on my VIP card today as a 30* play! That’s right a VIP play for free. I like Jaren Jackson Jr. of the Grizzlies to go UNDER 6.5 Rebounds. The analytics are projecting him for 4.9 rebounds, which is a massive advantage on a line of 6.5. JJJ averages 5.7 rebounds per game on the season and has posted 7 and 15 boards his last two times out. This doesn’t scare me because the under was 10-0 in the 10 games before that. Miami is a top 10 team at limiting opposing rebounds so it’s also a tough matchup, only getting tougher with both Bam Adebayo and Kel’el Ware on the court together. So much to like here. Lock this one in early as the line could move down throughout the day: Take Jaren Jackson Jr. UNDER 6.5 Rebounds!
MLB: Rockies vs Phillies YRFI (yes runs first inning)
We have to dish out some MLB value today as well so I want you guys to look at the Rockies vs Phillies matchup and take the YRFI bet (yes runs first inning). This game is set up to be a scoring frenzy from the start and the total line shows this, sitting at O/U 9.5 runs. On the bump for Colorado is Antonio Senzatela, who didn’t allow a single run in his first start this season. However, check the box score as he gave up NINE hits to Tampa Bay and somehow escaped jams every inning. Current Phillies hitters will be ready to tee off on Senzatela from the get go as they have a .345 combined batting average against him. Similarly, Rockies hitters have shelled Phillies starter Tijuana Walker, combining for a .400 batting average in 35 at-bats. I see at least one run being put on the board in the first inning as these pitchers try to settle in against lineups they don’t feel comfortable with. Lock in Rockies/Phillies YRFI and let’s sweep the board!
Check out YLose Handicapper Luke "Prop Master" Shuey every day as he breaks down Player Props and releases free picks for NFL, NBA, MLB as well as College Sports such as NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball on his daily podcast available anywhere you get your podcasts from. Ylose.com/props.
