Quick Picks with Coach Rick Bowe, MLB Picks, MLB Free Picks, MLB Predictions 7/7/26
- rbowe7447
- Jul 7
- 4 min read
LA ANGELS @ TEXAS (TEX -168, 7)
MLB ODDS, MLB PREDICTIONS, MLB PREVIEWS
COACH RICK MLB PREVIEWS
ANGELS @ RANGERS 7/7/26
Tonight’s AL West clash at Globe Life Field features a fascinating pitching matchup between Texas ace Jacob deGrom and Los Angeles right-hander José Soriano. While the Rangers have struggled in recent head-to-head meetings (0-3 in the last three), the statistical profile of this game, combined with significant injury news for both sides, creates several high-value opportunities.
The Rangers are home favorites tonight, and the pitching matchup provides a clear edge for the defending champs. Jacob deGrom takes the mound, and while his career numbers against this specific Angels roster show a .315 average allowed, his strikeout ability remains elite with a 27.1% K-rate. He has historically dominated key Angels bats like Jo Adell (1-for-8) and Nolan Schanuel (1-for-8).
The Angels counter with José Soriano, who has been serviceable but lacks deGrom's "shut-down" pedigree. Furthermore, the Angels are severely depleted by injuries, missing Anthony Rendon and Yoán Moncada. Texas is also dealing with injuries to Corey Seager and Wyatt Langford, but their depth and the presence of deGrom at home make them the definitive play.
GAME TOTAL PREDICTION
Globe Life Field is the most pitcher-friendly park on tonight's slate, with a Run Factor of 86 (14% below league average). This venue suppresses scoring across the board, which aligns perfectly with a deGrom start.
Soriano has also shown the ability to limit damage against Texas, holding current Rangers hitters to a .226 career average. With both offenses missing some bats (Seager for Texas, Rendon for LA) and the park factors heavily favoring the arms, this game is primed for a low-scoring pitcher's duel.
TOP PLAYER PROPS
Nicky Lopez has been the most consistent contact hitter for the Rangers recently. He has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 10 games and 4 of his last 5. He is currently averaging 1.3 hits per game over his last 10 outings.
Lopez has a favorable matchup against Soriano, against whom he has already drawn a walk in their only career meeting. His ability to put the ball in play is even better at home, where he has hit this over in 68.75% of his games. Given Soriano's tendency to allow hits (averaging 5.8 hits allowed over his last 5 starts), Lopez is a top-tier prop choice.
Denzer Guzman has been a bright spot for the Angels' offense. He has recorded a hit in 80% of his last 20 games and 80% of his last 5. He is currently averaging 1.1 hits per game over his last 20 outings.
Guzman has been particularly effective as a visitor, hitting this over in 88.89% of his road games. While deGrom is a daunting opponent, Guzman's high contact rate and recent form suggest he is the most likely Angel to find grass tonight.
Josh Lowe enters this game on a strong run, recording a hit in 80% of his last 10 games and 80% of his last 15. He is currently averaging 1.0 hits per game over his last 10 outings.
While he has struggled historically against Texas (33.3% hit rate in 2025), his current form is too strong to ignore. He is one of the few healthy power-speed threats remaining in the Angels' lineup and will be relied upon heavily to produce against the Rangers' staff.
Ezequiel Duran has been highly productive for Texas, hitting this over in 80% of his last 5 games and 70% of his last 10. He is currently averaging 2.0 total bases per game over his last five outings.
Duran has a solid track record at Globe Life Field, hitting this over in 57.14% of his home games. Facing Soriano, who has allowed a .226 average to this roster, Duran’s ability to find gaps makes this a very safe play for at least one base.
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FREE PICK: UNDER 7.5
This is an outstanding pitching matchup. Soriano is typically better on the road with a 5-3 record and a 2.91 ERA. He’s pitched three AL West Division games on the road and he hasn’t allowed a single run in the F5 innings. He should be able to go even deeper in this game against a fairly weak Rangers lineup that will be without Wyatt Langford and Corey Seager. Jacob deGrom starts for the Rangers. In 6 starts in June, he went 4-2 with an even 3.00 ERA. He did get whacked by the Angels back in May, allowing 6 ER in just 3 IP but that was on the road. Glo
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